Top Podcasts
Health & Wellness
Personal Growth
Social & Politics
Technology
AI
Personal Finance
Crypto
Explainers
YouTube SummarySee all latest Top Podcasts summaries
Watch on YouTube
Publisher thumbnail
Lark Davis
10:0110/12/25

Solana Is 5X Undervalued [what no one is talking about]

TLDR

Solana is positioned as a significantly undervalued asset compared to Ethereum, demonstrating superior growth in key metrics, evolving into a mature financial network, and poised for explosive institutional adoption with upcoming spot ETFs and CME products.

Takeways

Solana leads in key growth metrics, outperforming other Layer 1s and Layer 2s, indicating strong adoption and real-world usage.

The ecosystem is maturing from meme coin speculation to a focus on stablecoins and real financial activity, attracting institutional interest.

Impending spot ETFs and CME products are expected to drive massive institutional inflows, positioning Solana for significant price appreciation.

Solana shows dominance across various metrics, including network revenue and active addresses, often surpassing or matching all other major Layer 1 and Layer 2 chains combined. This rapid growth, coupled with a shift from speculative meme coin activity to real financial use cases like stablecoin transactions and tokenized real-world assets, indicates a maturing ecosystem. With its efficient technology and impending institutional access via spot ETFs and CME futures, Solana is strongly positioned for massive price appreciation, potentially being five times undervalued relative to Ethereum.

Solana's Market Dominance

00:00:37 Solana has consistently outperformed other Layer 1 and Layer 2 blockchains, generating $271 million in network revenue in Q2 alone and matching the combined monthly active addresses of all other major chains in July and June. The platform also leads in transactions, fees captured, and stablecoin supply growth, with a 40% increase in three months to $13.9 billion, significantly outpacing Ethereum's 8% growth over the same period. These metrics highlight Solana's accelerating adoption and real-world usage, making it a compelling, underpriced asset despite a smaller market capitalization than Ethereum.

Evolving Ecosystem Maturity

00:03:57 Solana's ecosystem is evolving from a meme coin-dominated speculative environment to a mature network focused on real financial activity. While meme coins once accounted for 60% of DEX volume, they fell to under 30% by September 2025 (a future-dated reference in the transcript), with stablecoin swaps now comprising 58% of DEX volume and direct stablecoin-to-stablecoin trades adding another 4%. This shift signals a foundation built for serious financial applications, which institutional investors like Bitwise CIO Matt Hogan recognize as 'the new Wall Street' due to Solana's speed, throughput, and finality for stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets.

Imminent Institutional Inflows

00:06:03 A significant wave of spot Solana ETFs is expected, with Bloomberg and Polymarket indicating near 100% approval odds for October 10th. These ETFs, along with Solana CME Futures launched in March and options set for October 13th, will unlock institutional flows and retail access through brokerage and retirement accounts, bringing a new layer of liquidity to the market. Unlike Ethereum, Solana ETFs may offer competitive advantages like staking from day one and shorter unstaking periods, without the large ETF overhang from existing products, further driving potential inflows.

Price Targets and Outlook

00:07:48 Bitwise's Solana report from January, applying Metcalfe's law, projects significant long-term price targets, including a bear case of $2,319, a base case of $4,026, and a bull case of $6,637 per Solana by 2030, which are all at least 10x the current price. For the near term, the technical analysis indicates short-term targets of $242, $254, and $262, with a move above $245 opening the path to the previous all-time high of $293. The key end-of-year target is around $425-$450, and once the previous all-time high is surpassed, the upside potential is considered limitless.