Análisis de la encuesta Invamer: ¿a qué se debe el porcentaje de desaprobación del presidente Petro?

The Invamer survey, ‘Colombia Opina,’ reveals a significant portion of Colombians disapprove of President Gustavo Petro's management, primarily due to concerns about public order and the perceived failure of the ‘Paz Total’ initiative. The survey also highlights the uncertainty among voters regarding the upcoming presidential elections in 2026, with the center-leaning candidates currently leading the intention-to-vote poll.

Presidential Candidate Intentions

• 00:02:14 The survey gauged potential voter preferences for the 2026 presidential election, revealing Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López as frontrunners, followed by Germán Vargas Lleras and Gustavo Bolívar. The survey also shows center-leaning candidates dominating the top positions and the right trailing behind.

President Petro's Approval Ratings

• 00:14:43 President Petro's approval rating is at 35.7%, with 59.9% disapproving of his management. His approval has remained relatively stable since May 2023, while disapproval has steadily increased. Notably, President Petro has retained a core base of support despite the overall negative sentiment.

Public Order and Peace Total

• 00:25:08 Public order is the most significant concern among Colombians, with 33.7% citing it as the country's main problem, a 14% increase since July. Colombians largely view the ‘Paz Total’ initiative as failing to enhance security, with 63% believing it's on the wrong track and causing increased insecurity.

Colombian Pessimism

• 00:29:36 The majority of Colombians (65.9%) perceive the country's trajectory as negative, signifying a prevailing sense of pessimism. The survey also reveals a lack of trust in Congress, with 78% of respondents feeling unrepresented by it, which indicates a significant gap for future candidates.

Expresident Favorability

• 00:31:27 The survey also measured favorability toward former presidents. Álvaro Uribe and Juan Manuel Santos emerged as the most favorably viewed, possibly reflecting changing political preferences in Colombia and the decline of traditional political parties. This finding suggests that voters may be shifting away from established parties.