The Bitcoin Parabolic Phase - Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin's price is currently in the early stages of a parabolic phase, similar to previous cycles, with potential for significant upside over the coming months. Based on historical patterns, this parabolic phase could extend into 2025, followed by a bear market starting in late 2025 or early 2026, suggesting a potential exit point for investors around November or December 2025.

Parabolic Phase Start

• 00:00:05 The Bitcoin price has entered the parabolic phase of the cycle, evidenced by breaking the prior all-time high resistance, which is a recurring pattern in past cycles. Based on past cycles, the parabolic phase can last several months, and based on historical trends, a peak could occur in late 2025 or early 2026.

Historical Cycles

• 00:00:35 Historical Bitcoin cycles reveal a cyclical pattern of bull and bear markets, with parabolic price increases typically following a halving event, followed by a bear market a year later. The duration of the parabolic phase and bear markets has been consistent in previous cycles, suggesting a predictability that can be used to predict future price movements.

Halving & 214 Days

• 00:06:01 In the three prior Bitcoin cycles, a new all-time high was achieved roughly 214 days after the halving event. This historical trend suggests a potential new all-time high in November 2024, which aligned with the previous cycle. The halving events have a significant influence on Bitcoin's price trajectory.

Bear Market Prediction

• 00:07:12 A bear market is an expected part of the cycle and has historically occurred a year after the bull market peak. Based on the cyclical pattern of previous cycles, the bear market could potentially begin in late 2025 or early 2026, providing a possible timeline for investors to consider when exiting the market.

Pre-Halving Period

• 00:09:58 Prior to each Bitcoin halving, there is a pre-halving period characterized by a bear market bottom, accumulation phase, and a pre-halving rally. This phase varies in duration and intensity but generally involves a period of sideways trading and eventual accumulation before a rally into the halving event. However, the focus in the podcast is on the parabolic phase, with the pre-halving period considered too far into the future to be relevant.