Could Hayat Tahrir al-Sham reunite a fractured Syrian opposition? | DW News

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a powerful Syrian rebel group, has recently seized control of Aleppo, raising questions about its potential to unite the fractured Syrian opposition. HTS, previously affiliated with al-Qaeda, has attempted to present a more moderate image while facing accusations of human rights abuses, and its recent actions may be influenced by Turkey's strategic interests, including refugee repatriation, and the weakened state of Assad's allies.

HTS Background

• 00:00:05 Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) is a powerful rebel group controlling much of Northwest Syria, comprised of 30 armed groups and 60,000 fighters. It emerged from al-Nusra Front, an al-Qaeda affiliate, and was designated a terrorist organization by the UN and US due to alleged human rights abuses. Despite this, HTS has recently claimed to have disavowed terrorism and seeks to present a more moderate image.

HTS Aleppo Capture

• 00:02:25 HTS recently captured Aleppo with minimal bloodshed due to the Syrian regime's withdrawal, gaining control of weapons left behind. This swift capture demonstrates HTS's increased power compared to previous years and may be attributed to the Syrian regime's weakened state.

HTS & Syrian Opposition

• 00:02:48 HTS aims to unite the fragmented Syrian opposition, which includes different Islamist groups. The outcome of this potential coalition with the Syrian National Army and HTS's actions towards the SDF remain uncertain, but close monitoring is crucial to understand the future impact.

Turkey's Role

• 00:03:33 Turkey's potential involvement in the HTS operation is unclear, though its interests align with HTS's actions. These interests include normalizing relations with the Assad regime, which has been unsuccessful, and the repatriation of Syrian refugees. The increased control of Northwest Syria by HTS benefits Turkey's goals.

Regional Impact

• 00:05:35 The escalating violence and HTS's actions are unfavorable to Iran, which seeks to maintain its supply corridor to Lebanon. Russia's involvement is unlikely due to its commitment in Ukraine, and Assad's allies are significantly weakened. The loss of Aleppo in a single day highlights the decline of Assad's position and the challenges he faces in regaining control.