The podcast analyzes Palantir Technologies, a stock favored by YouTube, and its valuation based on revenue growth, profit margins, and free cash flow. The speaker also reviews five other stocks from Joel Greenblatt's Value Investors Club, including Lululemon, Sketchers, Crocs, Match Group, and Excelis Technologies, determining their fair value based on a stock analyzer tool and assessing their potential for future growth and profitability.
Palantir Analysis
• 00:00:24 Palantir Technologies, a data analytics company, has seen significant stock price appreciation, but trades at a high multiple of sales. While it boasts strong margins and a net cash position, the speaker raises concerns about significant share dilution. Based on a 10-year analysis, the speaker believes the stock is currently overvalued based on his assumptions about growth and return, with a fair value between $5-47.
Lululemon Analysis
• 00:09:02 Lululemon Athletica is a leading athletic apparel retailer experiencing robust revenue growth and expanding its store presence internationally. The company also aims to double e-commerce revenue. Based on a 10-year analysis, the speaker estimates a fair value of $200-480, but concludes that the stock may be expensive at current prices.
Sketchers Analysis
• 00:11:19 Skechers, a footwear and apparel company, has achieved strong revenue growth and expanded its store footprint, particularly in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. While the company's profit margins remain relatively low, free cash flow has increased. A 10-year analysis estimates a fair value of $52-155, suggesting the stock may be undervalued at its current price.
Crocs Analysis
• 00:13:32 Crocs, known for its foam clogs, has experienced a resurgence despite initial concerns of it being a fad. The company has acquired Heydude to expand its product line and has shown strong returns on invested capital. Although future revenue growth estimates are moderate, the speaker believes Crocs could be a good buy at current prices if it continues its growth trajectory. The stock analyzer tool indicates a fair value between $133 and $350.
Match Group Analysis
• 00:16:28 Match Group, a dating app company, achieved strong revenue growth driven by Tinder and Hinge. The company also demonstrated strong profitability and a solid cash position. Based on a 10-year analysis, the speaker finds the stock's potential return interesting, with a fair value between $43 and $106.